Discounted Cash Flow

NIO Inc. ADR

NIO · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

DCF estimate unavailable — only_0_profitable_out_of_10

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016
2017 $0 $-7.6b $-5.0b $-346.84
2018 $720.1m $-23.3b (-208.5%) $-8.9b (-79.3%) -3239.5% $-70.23 (79.8%)
2019 $1.1b (56.1%) $-11.4b (51.1%) $-9.8b (-10.1%) -1015.4% (68.7%) $-11.08 (84.2%)
2020 $2.5b (121.7%) $-5.6b (50.8%) $1.2b (112.2%) -225.2% (77.8%) $-4.74 (57.2%)
2021 $5.7b (127.6%) $-10.6b (-88.4%) $507.6m (-57.7%) -186.4% (17.2%) $-1.05 (77.8%)
2022 $7.1b (26.0%) $-14.6b (-37.7%) $-8.0b (-1683.6%) -203.8% (-9.3%) $-1.29 (-22.9%)
2023 $7.8b (9.7%) $-21.1b (-45.2%) $-5.8b (27.5%) -270.0% (-32.4%) $-1.75 (-35.7%)
2024 $9.0b (15.0%) $-22.7b (-7.1%) $-11.7b (-101.2%) -251.6% (6.8%) $-1.51 (13.7%)
2025 $12.5b (38.9%) $-15.6b (31.3%) $-1.5b (86.9%) -124.5% (50.5%) $-0.98 (35.1%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model

only_0_profitable_out_of_10

Once the company meets all DCF eligibility criteria (sufficient history, profitability, growth trends), an estimate will become available automatically. No action is needed.