Discounted Cash Flow
Niu Technologies ADR
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $354.8m | $-34.4m | $-19.7m | -9.7% | $-22.35 |
| 2017 | $769.4m (116.8%) | $-27.3m (20.7%) | $8.4m (142.6%) | -3.6% (63.4%) | $-7.02 (68.6%) |
| 2018 | $214.9m (-72.1%) | $-7.5m (72.5%) | $462.1k (-94.5%) | -3.5% (1.6%) | $-5.30 (24.5%) |
| 2019 | $298.2m (38.8%) | $4.0m (153.8%) | $9.5m (1963.9%) | 1.4% (138.8%) | $0.18 (103.4%) |
| 2020 | $374.6m (25.6%) | $3.8m (-5.3%) | $3.8m (-59.9%) | 1.0% (-24.6%) | $0.17 (-5.6%) |
| 2021 | $581.3m (55.2%) | $5.2m (37.1%) | $7.2m (87.4%) | 0.9% (-11.7%) | $0.23 (35.3%) |
| 2022 | $459.4m (-21.0%) | $-1.1m (-120.2%) | $-1.1m (-114.8%) | -0.2% (-125.6%) | $-0.05 (-121.7%) |
| 2023 | $373.5m (-18.7%) | $-5.7m (-433.9%) | $12.2m (1252.0%) | -1.5% (-556.7%) | $-0.24 (-380.0%) |
| 2024 | $450.5m (20.6%) | $-3.9m (30.9%) | $5.3m (-56.6%) | -0.9% (42.7%) | $-0.17 (29.2%) |
| 2025 | $616.0m (36.7%) | $-833.5k (78.7%) | $48.5m (813.7%) | -0.1% (84.4%) | $-0.04 (76.5%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
SEC filings report in CNY. Values above are converted to USD for comparison with the US-listed share price.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.