Discounted Cash Flow
NEW Jersey Resources Corp.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
| Dividends | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $1.9b | $131.7m | $-33.4m | 7.0% | $1.53 |
| 2017 | $2.3b (20.6%) | $132.1m (0.3%) | $103.9m (410.9%) | 5.8% (-16.8%) | $1.53 (0.0%) |
| 2018 | $2.9b (28.5%) | $233.4m (76.8%) | $191.4m (84.2%) | 8.0% (37.6%) | $2.66 (73.9%) |
| 2019 | $2.6b (-11.1%) | $169.5m (-27.4%) | $-110.7m (-157.8%) | 6.5% (-18.3%) | $1.90 (-28.6%) |
| 2020 | $2.0b (-24.6%) | $193.9m (14.4%) | $-234.6m (-112.0%) | 9.9% (51.8%) | $2.05 (7.9%) |
| 2021 | $2.2b (10.4%) | $117.9m (-39.2%) | $-183.3m (21.9%) | 5.5% (-44.9%) | $1.23 (-40.0%) |
| 2022 | $2.9b (34.7%) | $274.9m (133.2%) | $-274.9m (-50.0%) | 9.5% (73.1%) | $2.86 (132.5%) |
| 2023 | $2.0b (-32.4%) | $264.7m (-3.7%) | $-61.9m (77.5%) | 13.5% (42.5%) | $2.73 (-4.5%) |
| 2024 | $1.8b (-8.5%) | $289.8m (9.5%) | $-143.9m (-132.4%) | 16.1% (19.6%) | $2.94 (7.7%) |
| 2025 | $2.0b (13.4%) | $335.6m (15.8%) | $-239.7m (-66.6%) | 16.5% (2.2%) | $3.35 (13.9%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.