Discounted Cash Flow

Nike, Inc.

NKE · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

DCF estimate unavailable — No positive free cash flow in recent history — company has not generated positive FCF

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income
Dividends

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $32.4b $3.8b $-1.1b 11.6% $2.21
2017 $34.4b (6.1%) $4.2b (12.8%) $-1.0b (6.2%) 12.3% (6.3%) $2.56 (15.8%)
2018 $36.4b (6.0%) $1.9b (-54.4%) $-903.0m (10.3%) 5.3% (-57.0%) $1.19 (-53.5%)
2019 $39.1b (7.5%) $4.0b (108.4%) $-966.0m (-7.0%) 10.3% (93.9%) $2.55 (114.3%)
2020 $37.4b (-4.4%) $2.5b (-37.0%) $-946.0m (2.1%) 6.8% (-34.1%) $1.63 (-36.1%)
2021 $44.5b (19.1%) $5.7b (125.6%) $-402.0m (57.5%) 12.9% (89.4%) $3.64 (123.3%)
2022 $46.7b (4.9%) $6.0b (5.6%) $-468.0m (-16.4%) 12.9% (0.7%) $3.83 (5.2%)
2023 $51.2b (9.6%) $5.1b (-16.1%) $-622.0m (-32.9%) 9.9% (-23.5%) $3.27 (-14.6%)
2024 $51.4b (0.3%) $5.7b (12.4%) $-431.0m (30.7%) 11.1% (12.1%) $3.76 (15.0%)
2025 $46.3b (-9.8%) $3.2b (-43.5%) $-41.0m (90.5%) 7.0% (-37.4%) $2.17 (-42.3%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model

No positive free cash flow in recent history — company has not generated positive FCF

Once the company meets all DCF eligibility criteria (sufficient history, profitability, growth trends), an estimate will become available automatically. No action is needed.