Discounted Cash Flow
NL Industries Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $108.9m | $15.3m | $24.5m | 14.1% | $0.31 |
| 2017 | $112.0m (2.9%) | $116.1m (657.6%) | $15.8m (-35.4%) | 103.6% (636.5%) | $2.38 (667.7%) |
| 2018 | $118.2m (5.5%) | $-41.0m (-135.3%) | $14.0m (-11.8%) | -34.7% (-133.5%) | $-0.84 (-135.3%) |
| 2019 | $124.2m (5.1%) | $25.8m (163.0%) | $24.3m (73.9%) | 20.8% (160.0%) | $0.53 (163.1%) |
| 2020 | $114.5m (-7.8%) | $14.7m (-43.2%) | $17.3m (-28.8%) | 12.8% (-38.4%) | $0.30 (-43.4%) |
| 2021 | $140.8m (22.9%) | $51.2m (248.7%) | $13.5m (-21.8%) | 36.4% (183.6%) | $1.05 (250.0%) |
| 2022 | $166.6m (18.3%) | $33.8m (-33.9%) | $23.2m (71.9%) | 20.3% (-44.1%) | $0.69 (-34.3%) |
| 2023 | $161.3m (-3.2%) | $-2.3m (-106.8%) | $-2.3m (-109.9%) | -1.4% (-107.0%) | $-0.05 (-107.2%) |
| 2024 | $145.9m (-9.5%) | $67.2m (3012.8%) | $24.1m (1146.0%) | 46.1% (3319.1%) | $1.38 (2860.0%) |
| 2025 | $158.3m (8.5%) | $-37.8m (-156.3%) | $-40.1m (-266.3%) | -23.9% (-151.9%) | $-0.77 (-155.8%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.