Discounted Cash Flow
Nelnet Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
| Dividends | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $1.1b | $256.8m | $257.7m | 24.2% | $6.02 |
| 2017 | $1.1b (8.1%) | $173.2m (-32.6%) | $71.5m (-72.2%) | 15.1% (-37.6%) | $4.14 (-31.2%) |
| 2018 | $1.9b (66.8%) | $227.9m (31.6%) | $145.9m (104.0%) | 11.9% (-21.1%) | $5.57 (34.5%) |
| 2019 | $2.1b (11.2%) | $141.8m (-37.8%) | $206.4m (41.5%) | 6.7% (-44.1%) | $3.54 (-36.4%) |
| 2020 | $2.0b (-5.1%) | $352.4m (148.5%) | $99.5m (-51.8%) | 17.5% (162.0%) | $9.02 (154.8%) |
| 2021 | $2.1b (6.5%) | $393.3m (11.6%) | $485.9m (388.3%) | 18.3% (4.8%) | $10.20 (13.1%) |
| 2022 | $2.5b (14.4%) | $407.3m (3.6%) | $624.6m (28.5%) | 16.6% (-9.5%) | $10.83 (6.2%) |
| 2023 | $2.6b (3.9%) | $91.5m (-77.5%) | $358.9m (-42.5%) | 3.6% (-78.4%) | $2.45 (-77.4%) |
| 2024 | $2.5b (-0.1%) | $184.0m (101.1%) | $642.0m (78.9%) | 7.2% (101.4%) | $5.02 (104.9%) |
| 2025 | $3.2b (24.6%) | $428.5m (132.8%) | $396.7m (-38.2%) | 13.5% (86.8%) | $11.79 (134.9%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.