Discounted Cash Flow
Northrop Grumman Corp. /De/
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $24.5b | $2.2b | $1.9b | 9.0% | $12.30 |
| 2017 | $25.8b (5.3%) | $2.0b (-8.4%) | $1.7b (-11.0%) | 7.8% (-13.0%) | $11.55 (-6.1%) |
| 2018 | $30.1b (16.6%) | $3.2b (60.2%) | $2.6b (53.0%) | 10.7% (37.4%) | $18.59 (61.0%) |
| 2019 | $33.8b (12.4%) | $2.2b (-30.4%) | $3.0b (17.6%) | 6.6% (-38.1%) | $13.28 (-28.6%) |
| 2020 | $36.8b (8.7%) | $3.2b (41.9%) | $2.9b (-4.9%) | 8.7% (30.5%) | $19.08 (43.7%) |
| 2021 | $35.7b (-3.1%) | $7.0b (119.7%) | $2.2b (-25.4%) | 19.6% (126.6%) | $43.70 (129.0%) |
| 2022 | $36.6b (2.6%) | $4.9b (-30.1%) | $1.5b (-31.9%) | 13.4% (-31.9%) | $31.61 (-27.7%) |
| 2023 | $39.3b (7.3%) | $2.1b (-58.0%) | $2.1b (43.2%) | 5.2% (-60.9%) | $13.57 (-57.1%) |
| 2024 | $41.0b (4.4%) | $4.2b (103.0%) | $2.6b (24.8%) | 10.2% (94.4%) | $28.39 (109.2%) |
| 2025 | $42.0b (2.2%) | $4.2b (0.2%) | $3.3b (26.2%) | 10.0% (-2.0%) | $29.14 (2.6%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.