Discounted Cash Flow
Northern OIL & GAS Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $144.9m | $-293.5m | $101.7m | -202.5% | $-4.80 |
| 2017 | $209.3m (44.5%) | $-9.2m (96.9%) | $73.0m (-28.2%) | -4.4% (97.8%) | $-0.15 (96.9%) |
| 2018 | $678.9m (224.3%) | $143.7m (1662.9%) | $244.2m (234.7%) | 21.2% (581.9%) | $0.61 (506.7%) |
| 2019 | $472.4m (-30.4%) | $-76.3m (-153.1%) | $338.6m (38.7%) | -16.2% (-176.3%) | $-0.20 (-132.8%) |
| 2020 | $552.2m (16.9%) | $-906.0m (-1087.2%) | $331.4m (-2.1%) | -164.1% (-915.6%) | $-21.55 (-10675.0%) |
| 2021 | $496.9m (-10.0%) | $6.4m (100.7%) | $6.4m (-98.1%) | 1.3% (100.8%) | $-0.13 (99.4%) |
| 2022 | $2.0b (299.6%) | $773.2m (12055.9%) | $923.8m (14423.5%) | 38.9% (2941.7%) | $9.26 (7223.1%) |
| 2023 | $2.2b (9.1%) | $923.0m (19.4%) | $1.2b (28.0%) | 42.6% (9.4%) | $10.09 (9.0%) |
| 2024 | $2.2b (2.7%) | $520.3m (-43.6%) | $1.4b (19.2%) | 23.4% (-45.1%) | $5.21 (-48.4%) |
| 2025 | $2.1b (-5.9%) | $38.8m (-92.6%) | $38.8m (-97.2%) | 1.9% (-92.1%) | $0.40 (-92.3%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.