Discounted Cash Flow

Novanta Inc.

NOVT · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $384.8m $22.0m $39.3m 5.7% $0.63
2017 $521.3m (35.5%) $60.1m (172.9%) $54.3m (38.0%) 11.5% (101.4%) $1.14 (81.0%)
2018 $614.3m (17.8%) $49.1m (-18.2%) $75.0m (38.1%) 8.0% (-30.6%) $1.46 (28.1%)
2019 $626.1m (1.9%) $40.8m (-17.0%) $52.5m (-30.0%) 6.5% (-18.5%) $1.16 (-20.5%)
2020 $590.6m (-5.7%) $44.5m (9.2%) $129.7m (147.1%) 7.5% (15.8%) $1.27 (9.5%)
2021 $706.8m (19.7%) $50.3m (13.1%) $74.6m (-42.5%) 7.1% (-5.5%) $1.42 (11.8%)
2022 $860.9m (21.8%) $74.1m (47.1%) $71.1m (-4.7%) 8.6% (20.8%) $2.08 (46.5%)
2023 $881.7m (2.4%) $72.9m (-1.6%) $100.1m (40.7%) 8.3% (-3.9%) $2.03 (-2.4%)
2024 $949.2m (7.7%) $64.1m (-12.1%) $141.3m (41.2%) 6.8% (-18.3%) $1.78 (-12.3%)
2025 $980.6m (3.3%) $53.8m (-16.0%) $48.4m (-65.7%) 5.5% (-18.7%) $1.47 (-17.4%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model