Discounted Cash Flow
National Presto Industries Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $341.9m | $44.6m | $59.4m | 13.0% | $6.39 |
| 2017 | $333.6m (-2.4%) | $53.0m (18.8%) | $16.9m (-71.6%) | 15.9% (21.8%) | $7.58 (18.6%) |
| 2018 | $323.3m (-3.1%) | $39.9m (-24.6%) | $67.6m (300.2%) | 12.4% (-22.2%) | $5.70 (-24.8%) |
| 2019 | $308.5m (-4.6%) | $42.2m (5.7%) | $6.4m (-90.5%) | 13.7% (10.8%) | $6.01 (5.4%) |
| 2020 | $352.6m (14.3%) | $47.0m (11.2%) | $38.4m (495.1%) | 13.3% (-2.7%) | $6.67 (11.0%) |
| 2021 | $355.8m (0.9%) | $25.7m (-45.4%) | $31.8m (-17.0%) | 7.2% (-45.9%) | $3.63 (-45.6%) |
| 2022 | $321.6m (-9.6%) | $20.7m (-19.3%) | $7.7m (-75.7%) | 6.4% (-10.7%) | $2.92 (-19.6%) |
| 2023 | $340.9m (6.0%) | $34.6m (67.0%) | $43.5m (462.8%) | 10.1% (57.5%) | $4.86 (66.4%) |
| 2024 | $388.2m (13.9%) | $41.5m (20.0%) | $-61.0m (-240.0%) | 10.7% (5.3%) | $5.82 (19.8%) |
| 2025 | $503.5m (29.7%) | $33.1m (-20.2%) | $-36.2m (40.7%) | 6.6% (-38.5%) | $4.63 (-20.4%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.