Discounted Cash Flow

Nexpoint Real Estate Finance, Inc. REIT

NREF · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2020 $17.7m $11.1m $32.9m 62.8% $2.13
2021 $26.1m (47.5%) $39.6m (256.6%) $49.3m (49.8%) 151.9% (141.8%) $6.00 (181.7%)
2022 $37.7m (44.8%) $3.2m (-91.8%) $3.2m (-93.4%) 8.6% (-94.4%) $0.22 (-96.3%)
2023 $16.8m (-55.5%) $10.4m (221.6%) $31.6m (875.8%) 61.9% (622.3%) $0.60 (172.7%)
2024 $28.1m (67.5%) $17.7m (70.1%) $29.3m (-7.2%) 62.9% (1.6%) $1.02 (70.0%)
2025 $47.2m (67.7%) $75.7m (327.7%) $22.9m (-21.7%) 160.4% (155.1%) $4.28 (319.6%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model