Discounted Cash Flow
National Storage Affiliates Trust REIT
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $199.0m | $18.0m | $95.1m | 9.0% | $0.60 |
| 2017 | $268.1m (34.7%) | $3.0m (-83.5%) | $3.0m (-96.9%) | 1.1% (-87.8%) | $0.01 (-98.3%) |
| 2018 | $330.9m (23.4%) | $14.1m (376.5%) | $14.1m (376.5%) | 4.3% (286.1%) | $0.07 (600.0%) |
| 2019 | $387.9m (17.2%) | $4.0m (-71.8%) | $4.0m (-71.8%) | 1.0% (-75.9%) | $-0.15 (-314.3%) |
| 2020 | $432.2m (11.4%) | $48.6m (1120.4%) | $220.7m (5439.9%) | 11.2% (995.3%) | $0.53 (453.3%) |
| 2021 | $585.7m (35.5%) | $105.3m (116.5%) | $331.3m (50.2%) | 18.0% (59.8%) | $1.13 (113.2%) |
| 2022 | $801.6m (36.9%) | $103.7m (-1.4%) | $400.1m (20.8%) | 12.9% (-28.0%) | $0.99 (-12.4%) |
| 2023 | $858.1m (7.0%) | $156.7m (51.0%) | $389.1m (-2.8%) | 18.3% (41.1%) | $1.58 (59.6%) |
| 2024 | $770.3m (-10.2%) | $111.5m (-28.8%) | $309.8m (-20.4%) | 14.5% (-20.7%) | $1.18 (-25.3%) |
| 2025 | $752.9m (-2.3%) | $73.8m (-33.8%) | $299.3m (-3.4%) | 9.8% (-32.3%) | $0.69 (-41.5%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.