Discounted Cash Flow
Norfolk Southern Corp.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $9.9b | $1.7b | $1.1b | 16.9% | $5.66 |
| 2017 | $10.6b (6.7%) | $5.4b (224.0%) | $1.5b (33.4%) | 51.2% (203.6%) | $18.76 (231.4%) |
| 2018 | $11.5b (8.6%) | $2.7b (-50.7%) | $1.8b (16.0%) | 23.3% (-54.6%) | $9.58 (-48.9%) |
| 2019 | $11.3b (-1.4%) | $2.7b (2.1%) | $1.9b (5.5%) | 24.1% (3.6%) | $10.32 (7.7%) |
| 2020 | $9.8b (-13.3%) | $2.0b (-26.0%) | $2.1b (14.4%) | 20.6% (-14.7%) | $7.88 (-23.6%) |
| 2021 | $11.1b (13.8%) | $3.0b (49.3%) | $2.8b (30.0%) | 27.0% (31.2%) | $12.16 (54.3%) |
| 2022 | $12.7b (14.4%) | $3.3b (8.8%) | $2.3b (-18.3%) | 25.7% (-4.9%) | $13.92 (14.5%) |
| 2023 | $12.2b (-4.6%) | $1.8b (-44.1%) | $830.0m (-63.5%) | 15.0% (-41.4%) | $8.04 (-42.2%) |
| 2024 | $12.1b (-0.3%) | $2.6b (43.5%) | $1.7b (101.3%) | 21.6% (43.9%) | $11.58 (44.0%) |
| 2025 | $12.2b (0.5%) | $2.9b (9.6%) | $2.2b (29.1%) | 23.6% (9.1%) | $12.76 (10.2%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.