Discounted Cash Flow

Nutrien Ltd. Foreign

NTR · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2017 $4.0b $-29.0m $574.0m -0.7% $0.39
2018 $18.8b (368.1%) $-124.0m (-327.6%) $252.0m (-56.1%) -0.7% (8.7%) $5.72 (1366.7%)
2019 $19.3b (2.6%) $1.3b (1154.8%) $1.7b (588.5%) 6.8% (1128.4%) $1.70 (-70.3%)
2020 $20.1b (4.1%) $382.0m (-70.8%) $3.2b (82.3%) 1.9% (-72.0%) $0.81 (-52.4%)
2021 $26.9b (34.0%) $3.2b (725.4%) $2.9b (-9.9%) 11.7% (516.2%) $5.53 (582.7%)
2022 $37.0b (37.8%) $7.7b (142.9%) $3.6b (25.9%) 20.7% (76.3%) $14.22 (157.1%)
2023 $28.1b (-24.1%) $1.3b (-83.6%) $4.0b (11.9%) 4.5% (-78.4%) $2.53 (-82.2%)
2024 $25.0b (-10.9%) $674.0m (-46.4%) $3.4b (-16.6%) 2.7% (-39.9%) $1.36 (-46.2%)
2025 $25.9b (3.7%) $2.3b (236.4%) $3.5b (3.1%) 8.7% (224.3%) $4.66 (242.6%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model