Discounted Cash Flow
Northern Trust Corp.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
| Dividends | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $5.0b | $1.0b | $1.4b | 20.8% | $4.35 |
| 2017 | $5.4b (8.3%) | $1.2b (16.1%) | $1.6b (16.5%) | 22.3% (7.2%) | $4.95 (13.8%) |
| 2018 | $6.0b (10.9%) | $1.6b (29.8%) | $1.7b (2.5%) | 26.1% (17.1%) | $6.68 (34.9%) |
| 2019 | $6.1b (1.9%) | $1.5b (-4.1%) | $2.4b (45.8%) | 24.6% (-5.9%) | $6.66 (-0.3%) |
| 2020 | $6.1b (0.5%) | $1.2b (-19.0%) | $1.8b (-27.6%) | 19.8% (-19.3%) | $5.48 (-17.7%) |
| 2021 | $6.5b (6.0%) | $1.5b (27.8%) | $1.3b (-28.4%) | 23.9% (20.6%) | $7.16 (30.7%) |
| 2022 | $6.8b (4.6%) | $1.3b (-13.5%) | $2.3b (79.6%) | 19.8% (-17.3%) | $6.16 (-14.0%) |
| 2023 | $6.8b (0.2%) | $1.1b (-17.1%) | $2.5b (10.8%) | 16.3% (-17.3%) | $5.09 (-17.4%) |
| 2024 | $8.3b (22.4%) | $2.0b (83.4%) | $-587.5m (-123.4%) | 24.5% (49.9%) | $9.80 (92.5%) |
| 2025 | $8.1b (-2.5%) | $1.7b (-14.5%) | $5.5b (1029.3%) | 21.5% (-12.3%) | $8.78 (-10.4%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.