Discounted Cash Flow

Navigator Holdings Ltd. Foreign

NVGS · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $294.1m $44.6m $85.0m 15.2% $0.81
2017 $298.6m (1.5%) $5.3m (-88.1%) $5.3m (-93.8%) 1.8% (-88.3%) $0.10 (-87.7%)
2018 $310.0m (3.8%) $-5.7m (-208.1%) $-5.7m (-208.1%) -1.9% (-204.1%) $-0.10 (-200.0%)
2019 $301.4m (-2.8%) $-16.7m (-191.1%) $49.3m (959.8%) -5.5% (-199.5%) $-0.30 (-200.0%)
2020 $332.5m (10.3%) $-443.0k (97.3%) $44.6m (-9.5%) -0.1% (97.6%) $-0.01 (96.7%)
2021 $406.5m (22.3%) $-31.0m (-6889.6%) $97.6m (118.6%) -7.6% (-5617.4%) $-0.48 (-4700.0%)
2022 $473.8m (16.6%) $53.5m (272.7%) $130.3m (33.5%) 11.3% (248.2%) $0.69 (243.8%)
2023 $550.7m (16.2%) $82.3m (53.8%) $174.5m (33.9%) 14.9% (32.3%) $1.11 (60.9%)
2024 $566.7m (2.9%) $85.6m (4.0%) $210.5m (20.7%) 15.1% (1.1%) $1.20 (8.1%)
2025 $587.0m (3.6%) $100.1m (17.0%) $116.6m (-44.6%) 17.1% (13.0%) $1.49 (24.2%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model