Discounted Cash Flow
NVR Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $5.8b | $425.3m | $362.1m | 7.3% | $110.53 |
| 2017 | $6.3b (8.3%) | $537.5m (26.4%) | $548.6m (51.5%) | 8.5% (16.7%) | $144.00 (30.3%) |
| 2018 | $7.2b (13.6%) | $797.2m (48.3%) | $703.5m (28.2%) | 11.1% (30.6%) | $219.58 (52.5%) |
| 2019 | $7.4b (3.1%) | $878.5m (10.2%) | $843.8m (20.0%) | 11.9% (6.8%) | $241.31 (9.9%) |
| 2020 | $7.5b (2.0%) | $901.2m (2.6%) | $909.1m (7.7%) | 12.0% (0.6%) | $244.11 (1.2%) |
| 2021 | $9.0b (18.8%) | $1.2b (37.2%) | $1.2b (34.7%) | 13.8% (15.5%) | $345.37 (41.5%) |
| 2022 | $10.5b (17.6%) | $1.7b (39.5%) | $1.9b (51.2%) | 16.4% (18.6%) | $525.20 (52.1%) |
| 2023 | $9.5b (-9.6%) | $1.6b (-7.8%) | $1.5b (-20.4%) | 16.7% (2.0%) | $491.52 (-6.4%) |
| 2024 | $10.5b (10.6%) | $1.7b (5.7%) | $1.3b (-8.7%) | 16.0% (-4.4%) | $540.88 (10.0%) |
| 2025 | $10.3b (-1.9%) | $1.3b (-20.3%) | $1.1b (-18.5%) | 13.0% (-18.8%) | $462.00 (-14.6%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.