Discounted Cash Flow

Nwpx Infrastructure, Inc.

NWPX · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $156.3m $-9.3m $-773.0k -5.9% $-0.97
2017 $132.8m (-15.0%) $-10.2m (-9.7%) $-10.4m (-1241.7%) -7.7% (-29.1%) $-1.06 (-9.3%)
2018 $172.1m (29.6%) $20.3m (299.9%) $-22.2m (-114.0%) 11.8% (254.2%) $2.09 (297.2%)
2019 $279.3m (62.3%) $27.9m (37.4%) $34.3m (254.5%) 10.0% (-15.3%) $2.86 (36.8%)
2020 $285.9m (2.4%) $19.1m (-31.7%) $42.1m (22.7%) 6.7% (-33.3%) $1.95 (-31.8%)
2021 $333.3m (16.6%) $11.5m (-39.5%) $-19.1m (-145.3%) 3.5% (-48.1%) $1.17 (-40.0%)
2022 $457.7m (37.3%) $31.1m (170.3%) $-5.3m (72.3%) 6.8% (96.9%) $3.14 (168.4%)
2023 $444.4m (-2.9%) $21.1m (-32.4%) $35.2m (764.9%) 4.7% (-30.3%) $2.11 (-32.8%)
2024 $492.5m (10.8%) $34.2m (62.3%) $34.3m (-2.6%) 6.9% (46.4%) $3.45 (63.5%)
2025 $526.0m (6.8%) $35.4m (3.5%) $47.1m (37.5%) 6.7% (-3.1%) $3.62 (4.9%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model