Discounted Cash Flow

Realty Income Corp. REIT

O · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $1.1b $315.6m $804.0m 28.6% $1.09
2017 $1.2b (10.2%) $318.8m (1.0%) $875.9m (8.9%) 26.2% (-8.3%) $1.07 (-2.7%)
2018 $1.3b (9.2%) $363.6m (14.1%) $940.7m (7.4%) 27.4% (4.4%) $1.22 (14.5%)
2019 $1.5b (12.3%) $436.5m (20.0%) $1.1b (13.6%) 29.3% (6.9%) $1.34 (9.5%)
2020 $1.7b (10.7%) $395.5m (-9.4%) $1.1b (4.4%) 23.9% (-18.2%) $1.11 (-16.7%)
2021 $2.1b (26.0%) $359.5m (-9.1%) $1.3b (18.5%) 17.3% (-27.8%) $0.87 (-21.9%)
2022 $3.3b (60.7%) $869.4m (141.9%) $2.6b (93.9%) 26.0% (50.5%) $1.42 (63.2%)
2023 $4.1b (22.0%) $872.3m (0.3%) $3.0b (15.4%) 21.4% (-17.8%) $1.26 (-11.3%)
2024 $5.3b (29.2%) $860.8m (-1.3%) $3.6b (20.8%) 16.3% (-23.6%) $0.98 (-22.2%)
2025 $5.7b (9.1%) $1.1b (23.0%) $4.0b (11.8%) 18.4% (12.8%) $1.17 (19.4%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model