Discounted Cash Flow
Obsidian Energy Ltd. Foreign
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $575.0m | $-948.0m | — | -164.9% | $-1.39 |
| 2017 | $431.0m (-25.0%) | $-97.0m (89.8%) | — | -22.5% (86.3%) | $-0.17 (87.8%) |
| 2018 | $382.0m (-11.4%) | $-305.0m (-214.4%) | — | -79.8% (-254.8%) | $-0.60 (-252.9%) |
| 2019 | $372.0m (-2.6%) | $-788.0m (-158.4%) | — | -211.8% (-165.3%) | $-10.81 (-1701.7%) |
| 2020 | $309.7m (-16.7%) | $-771.7m (2.1%) | — | -249.2% (-17.6%) | $-10.53 (2.6%) |
| 2021 | $451.3m (45.7%) | $414.0m (153.6%) | — | 91.7% (136.8%) | $5.52 (152.4%) |
| 2022 | $771.0m (70.8%) | $563.7m (36.2%) | $137.4m | 73.1% (-20.3%) | $9.88 (79.0%) |
| 2023 | $683.9m (-11.3%) | $143.6m (-74.5%) | $305.3m (122.2%) | 21.0% (-71.3%) | $1.33 (-86.5%) |
| 2024 | $756.2m (10.6%) | $-265.1m (-284.6%) | $320.2m (4.9%) | -35.1% (-267.0%) | $-2.67 (-300.8%) |
| 2025 | $571.3m (-24.5%) | $47.0m (117.7%) | $184.9m (-42.3%) | 8.2% (123.5%) | $0.51 (119.1%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.