Discounted Cash Flow

Oceanfirst Financial Corp.

OCFC · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $23.0m $26.1m $1.00
2017 $42.5m (84.3%) $31.4m (20.3%) $1.32 (32.0%)
2018 $71.9m (69.4%) $81.1m (157.9%) $1.54 (16.7%)
2019 $88.6m (23.1%) $95.2m (17.4%) $1.77 (14.9%)
2020 $63.3m (-28.5%) $117.9m (23.9%) $1.02 (-42.4%)
2021 $110.1m (73.9%) $117.9m (0.0%) $1.79 (75.5%)
2022 $146.6m (33.2%) $234.3m (98.7%) $2.43 (35.8%)
2023 $104.0m (-29.0%) $116.6m (-50.3%) $1.70 (-30.0%)
2024 $100.1m (-3.8%) $84.7m (-27.3%) $1.65 (-2.9%)
2025 $71.0m (-29.1%) $79.5m (-6.1%) $1.17 (-29.1%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model