Discounted Cash Flow
OLD Dominion Freight Line, Inc.
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Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | — | $295.8m | $565.6m | — | $3.56 |
| 2017 | — | $463.8m (56.8%) | $536.3m (-5.2%) | — | $5.63 (58.1%) |
| 2018 | $4.0b | $605.7m (30.6%) | $900.1m (67.8%) | 15.0% | $7.39 (31.3%) |
| 2019 | $4.1b (1.6%) | $615.5m (1.6%) | $983.9m (9.3%) | 15.0% (0.0%) | $7.67 (3.8%) |
| 2020 | $4.0b (-2.3%) | $672.7m (9.3%) | $933.0m (-5.2%) | 16.8% (11.8%) | $5.71 (-25.6%) |
| 2021 | $5.3b (30.9%) | $1.0b (53.8%) | $1.2b (30.0%) | 19.7% (17.5%) | $8.94 (56.6%) |
| 2022 | $6.3b (19.1%) | $1.4b (33.1%) | $916.4m (-24.4%) | 22.0% (11.8%) | $12.26 (37.1%) |
| 2023 | $5.9b (-6.3%) | $1.2b (-10.0%) | $811.8m (-11.4%) | 21.1% (-4.0%) | $11.33 (-7.6%) |
| 2024 | $5.8b (-0.9%) | $1.2b (-4.3%) | $888.0m (9.4%) | 20.4% (-3.5%) | $5.51 (-51.4%) |
| 2025 | $5.5b (-5.5%) | $1.0b (-13.7%) | $955.1m (7.6%) | 18.6% (-8.7%) | $4.86 (-11.8%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.