Discounted Cash Flow

Organon & Co.

OGN · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income
Dividends

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2018 $9.8b $2.2b $3.6b 22.0%
2019 $7.8b (-20.5%) $3.2b (49.5%) $2.7b (-25.9%) 41.4% (87.9%) $12.69
2020 $6.5b (-16.0%) $2.2b (-32.9%) $1.9b (-28.2%) 33.1% (-20.1%) $8.52 (-32.9%)
2021 $6.3b (-3.5%) $0 (-100.0%) $2.3b (18.7%) 0.0% (-100.0%) $5.33 (-37.4%)
2022 $6.2b (-2.1%) $0 $721.0m (-68.2%) 0.0% $3.61 (-32.3%)
2023 $6.3b (1.4%) $0 $772.0m (7.1%) 0.0% $4.01 (11.1%)
2024 $6.4b (2.2%) $864.0m $764.0m (-1.0%) 13.5% $3.36 (-16.2%)
2025 $6.2b (-2.9%) $187.0m (-78.4%) $538.0m (-29.6%) 3.0% (-77.7%) $0.72 (-78.6%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model