Discounted Cash Flow
ONE Gas, Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $1.4b | $140.1m | $-27.5m | 9.8% | $2.67 |
| 2017 | $1.5b (7.9%) | $163.0m (16.3%) | $-102.6m (-272.9%) | 10.6% (7.9%) | $3.10 (16.1%) |
| 2018 | $1.6b (6.1%) | $172.2m (5.7%) | $73.2m (171.4%) | 10.5% (-0.4%) | $3.27 (5.5%) |
| 2019 | $1.7b (1.2%) | $186.7m (8.4%) | $-107.0m (-246.1%) | 11.3% (7.2%) | $3.53 (8.0%) |
| 2020 | $1.5b (-7.4%) | $196.4m (5.2%) | $-106.8m (0.1%) | 12.8% (13.6%) | $3.70 (4.8%) |
| 2021 | $1.8b (18.2%) | $206.4m (5.1%) | $-2.0b (-1800.8%) | 11.4% (-11.1%) | $3.85 (4.1%) |
| 2022 | $2.6b (42.5%) | $221.7m (7.4%) | $961.4m (147.3%) | 8.6% (-24.6%) | $4.09 (6.2%) |
| 2023 | $1.1b (-56.0%) | $231.2m (4.3%) | $272.9m (-71.6%) | 20.4% (137.0%) | $4.16 (1.7%) |
| 2024 | $778.3m (-31.4%) | $222.8m (-3.6%) | $-334.8m (-222.7%) | 28.6% (40.5%) | $3.92 (-5.8%) |
| 2025 | $998.9m (28.3%) | $264.2m (18.6%) | $-128.4m (61.6%) | 26.5% (-7.6%) | $4.39 (12.0%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.