Discounted Cash Flow

ONE Liberty Properties Inc. REIT

OLP · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $70.6m $24.4m $31.4m 34.6% $1.40
2017 $75.9m (7.5%) $24.1m (-1.1%) $44.6m (41.9%) 31.8% (-8.1%) $1.29 (-7.9%)
2018 $79.1m (4.2%) $20.7m (-14.4%) $42.6m (-4.3%) 26.1% (-17.9%) $1.05 (-18.6%)
2019 $84.7m (7.1%) $18.0m (-12.8%) $36.2m (-15.0%) 21.3% (-18.6%) $0.88 (-16.2%)
2020 $81.9m (-3.3%) $27.4m (52.2%) $35.1m (-3.1%) 33.5% (57.4%) $1.34 (52.3%)
2021 $82.7m (1.0%) $38.9m (41.8%) $48.6m (38.2%) 47.0% (40.3%) $1.87 (39.6%)
2022 $92.2m (11.5%) $42.2m (8.5%) $44.2m (-9.0%) 45.7% (-2.6%) $2.00 (7.0%)
2023 $90.6m (-1.7%) $29.6m (-29.8%) $46.1m (4.2%) 32.7% (-28.6%) $1.38 (-31.0%)
2024 $90.6m (-0.1%) $30.4m (2.7%) $39.1m (-15.2%) 33.6% (2.8%) $1.41 (2.2%)
2025 $97.2m (7.4%) $25.5m (-16.3%) $37.5m (-3.9%) 26.2% (-22.0%) $1.16 (-17.7%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model