Discounted Cash Flow
Central North Airport Group ADR
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $5.6b | $1.9b | $2.4b | 33.7% | $4.76 |
| 2017 | $361.3m (-93.5%) | $107.8m (-94.2%) | $107.8m (-95.5%) | 29.8% (-11.4%) | $0.27 (-94.2%) |
| 2018 | $402.3m (11.3%) | $145.1m (34.6%) | $145.1m (34.6%) | 36.1% (20.9%) | $7.25 (2546.8%) |
| 2019 | $451.8m (12.3%) | $170.6m (17.6%) | $170.6m (17.6%) | 37.8% (4.7%) | $8.20 (13.1%) |
| 2020 | $269.6m (-40.3%) | $55.0m (-67.8%) | $55.0m (-67.8%) | 20.4% (-46.0%) | $2.80 (-65.8%) |
| 2021 | $426.0m (58.0%) | $139.6m (154.0%) | $217.3m (295.3%) | 32.8% (60.7%) | $0.36 (-87.2%) |
| 2022 | $612.9m (43.9%) | $200.3m (43.5%) | $19.6m (-91.0%) | 32.7% (-0.2%) | $0.52 (44.4%) |
| 2023 | $854.5m (39.4%) | $296.2m (47.9%) | $-29.6m (-251.1%) | 34.7% (6.1%) | $0.77 (47.9%) |
| 2024 | $725.1m (-15.1%) | $237.1m (-20.0%) | $-23.2m (21.5%) | 32.7% (-5.7%) | $0.61 (-20.0%) |
| 2025 | $886.9m (22.3%) | $298.1m (25.7%) | $250.3m (1177.9%) | 33.6% (2.8%) | $0.77 (25.1%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.