Discounted Cash Flow

On Holding AG Foreign

ONON · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2019 $267.1m $-1.5m $-2.3m -0.6% $-0.01
2020 $425.3m (59.2%) $-27.5m (-1768.6%) $-6.6m (-191.4%) -6.5% (-1073.6%) $-0.10 (-900.0%)
2021 $724.6m (70.4%) $-170.2m (-518.5%) $6.4m (196.7%) -23.5% (-263.0%) $-0.65 (-550.0%)
2022 $1.2b (68.7%) $57.7m (133.9%) $-31.7m (-598.3%) 4.7% (120.1%) $0.20 (130.8%)
2023 $1.8b (46.6%) $79.6m (38.0%) $-1.6m (95.0%) 4.4% (-5.9%) $0.27 (35.0%)
2024 $2.3b (29.4%) $242.3m (204.4%) $3.5m (318.8%) 10.5% (135.3%) $0.82 (203.7%)
2025 $3.0b (30.0%) $203.7m (-15.9%) $-136.9m (-4011.4%) 6.8% (-35.3%) $0.68 (-17.1%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model