Discounted Cash Flow

Onto Innovation Inc.

ONTO · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $221.1m $44.0m 19.9% $1.79
2017 $258.6m (17.0%) $30.2m (-31.4%) $15.4m 11.7% (-41.4%) $1.19 (-33.5%)
2018 $324.5m (25.5%) $57.6m (90.9%) $95.8m (522.4%) 17.8% (52.1%) $2.39 (100.8%)
2019 $305.9m (-5.7%) $1.9m (-96.7%) $11.3m (-88.2%) 0.6% (-96.5%) $0.06 (-97.5%)
2020 $556.5m (81.9%) $31.0m (1524.3%) $102.2m (800.5%) 5.6% (792.9%) $0.63 (950.0%)
2022 $1.0b (80.6%) $223.3m (619.9%) $156.9m (53.6%) 22.2% (298.5%) $4.52 (617.5%)
2023 $815.9m (-18.8%) $121.2m (-45.7%) $149.4m (-4.8%) 14.9% (-33.2%) $2.47 (-45.4%)
2024 $987.3m (21.0%) $201.7m (66.5%) $213.8m (43.1%) 20.4% (37.5%) $4.09 (65.6%)
2025 $1.0b (1.8%) $136.8m (-32.2%) $299.8m (40.2%) 13.6% (-33.4%) $2.78 (-32.0%)
2026 $1.0b (0.0%) $136.8m (0.0%) $299.8m (0.0%) 13.6% (0.0%) $2.78 (0.0%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model