Discounted Cash Flow
Orchid Island Capital, Inc. REIT
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | — | $2.0m | $47.0m | — | $0.08 |
| 2017 | — | $2.0m (1.4%) | $85.0m (80.7%) | — | $0.05 (-37.5%) |
| 2018 | — | $-44.4m (-2311.6%) | $94.0m (10.6%) | — | $-0.85 (-1800.0%) |
| 2019 | — | $24.3m (154.7%) | $48.2m (-48.8%) | — | $0.43 (150.6%) |
| 2020 | — | $2.1m (-91.2%) | $55.4m (15.0%) | — | $0.03 (-93.0%) |
| 2021 | — | $-64.8m (-3143.2%) | $96.4m (74.2%) | — | $-0.54 (-1900.0%) |
| 2022 | — | $-258.5m (-299.1%) | $289.4m (200.1%) | — | $-6.90 (-1177.8%) |
| 2023 | — | $-39.2m (84.8%) | $-89.8m (-131.0%) | — | $-0.89 (87.1%) |
| 2024 | — | $37.7m (196.0%) | $-378.9m (-322.0%) | — | $0.57 (164.0%) |
| 2025 | — | $159.0m (322.3%) | $120.4m (131.8%) | — | $1.24 (117.5%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.