Discounted Cash Flow

Oracle Corp.

ORCL · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2017 $37.7b $9.3b $12.1b 24.7% $2.27
2018 $39.8b (5.6%) $3.8b (-59.0%) $13.7b (12.8%) 9.6% (-61.2%) $0.93 (-59.0%)
2019 $39.5b (-0.8%) $11.1b (189.8%) $12.9b (-5.6%) 28.1% (192.1%) $3.05 (228.0%)
2020 $39.1b (-1.1%) $10.1b (-8.6%) $11.6b (-10.2%) 25.9% (-7.5%) $3.16 (3.6%)
2021 $40.5b (3.6%) $13.7b (35.6%) $13.8b (18.8%) 34.0% (30.9%) $4.67 (47.8%)
2022 $42.4b (4.8%) $6.7b (-51.1%) $5.0b (-63.4%) 15.8% (-53.4%) $2.49 (-46.7%)
2023 $50.0b (17.7%) $8.5b (26.6%) $8.5b (68.5%) 17.0% (7.5%) $3.15 (26.5%)
2024 $53.0b (6.0%) $10.5b (23.1%) $11.8b (39.4%) 19.8% (16.1%) $3.82 (21.3%)
2025 $57.4b (8.4%) $12.4b (18.9%) $-394.0m (-103.3%) 21.7% (9.7%) $4.46 (16.8%)
2026 $67.4b (17.3%) $17.1b (37.3%) $-23.7b (-5911.7%) 25.4% (17.0%) $5.94 (33.2%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model