Discounted Cash Flow

Organogenesis Holdings Inc.

ORGO · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $0 $-208.7k $-1.9m $-0.03
2017 $0 $-2.1m (-903.3%) $-3.0m (-56.6%) $-0.48 (-1500.0%)
2018 $193.4m $-64.8m (-2996.2%) $-62.6m (-1977.8%) -33.5% $-0.94 (-95.8%)
2019 $261.0m (34.9%) $-40.5m (37.6%) $-39.5m (36.9%) -15.5% (53.7%) $-0.44 (53.2%)
2020 $338.3m (29.6%) $17.9m (144.4%) $-14.3m (63.7%) 5.3% (134.2%) $0.17 (138.6%)
2021 $468.1m (38.4%) $94.9m (428.7%) $30.8m (314.4%) 20.3% (282.2%) $0.74 (335.3%)
2022 $450.9m (-3.7%) $15.5m (-83.6%) $-9.0m (-129.4%) 3.4% (-83.0%) $0.12 (-83.8%)
2023 $433.1m (-3.9%) $4.9m (-68.2%) $6.6m (172.5%) 1.1% (-66.9%) $0.04 (-66.7%)
2024 $482.0m (11.3%) $861.0k (-82.6%) $4.2m (-36.3%) 0.2% (-84.4%) $-0.01 (-125.0%)
2025 $564.2m (17.0%) $37.0m (4201.0%) $-24.5m (-685.7%) 6.6% (3574.9%) $0.16 (1700.0%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model