Discounted Cash Flow
Orion Group Holdings Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $578.2m | $-3.6m | $4.4m | -0.6% | $-0.13 |
| 2017 | $578.6m (0.1%) | $400.0k (111.0%) | $23.4m (427.8%) | 0.1% (111.0%) | $0.01 (107.7%) |
| 2018 | $520.9m (-10.0%) | $-94.4m (-23705.5%) | $4.2m (-82.0%) | -18.1% (-26318.4%) | $-3.31 (-33200.0%) |
| 2019 | $708.4m (36.0%) | $-5.4m (94.3%) | $-17.9m (-524.8%) | -0.8% (95.8%) | $-0.18 (94.6%) |
| 2020 | $709.9m (0.2%) | $20.2m (477.3%) | $31.3m (274.9%) | 2.8% (476.5%) | $0.67 (472.2%) |
| 2021 | $601.4m (-15.3%) | $-14.6m (-172.0%) | $-16.9m (-153.9%) | -2.4% (-185.0%) | $-0.47 (-170.1%) |
| 2022 | $748.3m (24.4%) | $-12.6m (13.4%) | $-5.0m (70.3%) | -1.7% (30.4%) | $-0.40 (14.9%) |
| 2023 | $711.8m (-4.9%) | $-17.9m (-41.7%) | $8.3m (264.8%) | -2.5% (-49.0%) | $-0.55 (-37.5%) |
| 2024 | $796.4m (11.9%) | $-1.6m (90.8%) | $-1.4m (-117.1%) | -0.2% (91.8%) | $-0.05 (90.9%) |
| 2025 | $852.3m (7.0%) | $2.5m (251.3%) | $-10.8m (-663.0%) | 0.3% (241.4%) | $0.06 (220.0%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.