Discounted Cash Flow
Octave Specialty Group Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $506.1m | $74.8m | — | 14.8% | $1.66 |
| 2017 | $621.2m (22.7%) | $-328.7m (-539.2%) | — | -52.9% (-457.8%) | $-7.25 (-536.7%) |
| 2018 | $510.7m (-17.8%) | $185.7m (156.5%) | — | 36.4% (168.7%) | $4.07 (156.1%) |
| 2019 | $496.0m (-2.9%) | $-216.0m (-216.3%) | — | -43.5% (-219.7%) | $-4.69 (-215.2%) |
| 2020 | $156.0m (-68.5%) | $-437.0m (-102.3%) | — | -280.1% (-543.3%) | $-9.47 (-101.9%) |
| 2021 | $282.0m (80.8%) | $-17.0m (96.1%) | — | -6.0% (97.8%) | $-0.61 (93.6%) |
| 2022 | $0 (-100.0%) | $522.0m (3170.6%) | $1.3b | — | $11.48 (1982.0%) |
| 2023 | $51.3m | $5.0m (-99.1%) | $5.0m (-99.6%) | 9.7% | $0.18 (-98.4%) |
| 2024 | $92.0m (79.4%) | $-556.1m (-11331.8%) | $33.5m (577.4%) | -604.3% (-6359.1%) | $-10.71 (-6050.0%) |
| 2025 | $143.4m (55.8%) | $-259.1m (53.4%) | $71.7m (113.9%) | -180.7% (70.1%) | $-5.93 (44.6%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.