Discounted Cash Flow

OSI Systems Inc.

OSIS · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $829.7m $26.2m $41.5m 3.2% $1.35
2017 $961.0m (15.8%) $21.1m (-19.4%) $45.7m (10.0%) 2.2% (-30.4%) $1.12 (-17.0%)
2018 $1.1b (13.4%) $-29.1m (-238.2%) $89.9m (96.8%) -2.7% (-221.9%) $-1.57 (-240.2%)
2019 $1.2b (8.5%) $64.8m (322.5%) $91.7m (2.0%) 5.5% (305.0%) $3.58 (328.0%)
2020 $1.2b (-1.4%) $75.3m (16.1%) $108.8m (18.6%) 6.5% (17.7%) $4.14 (15.6%)
2021 $1.1b (-1.6%) $74.0m (-1.6%) $123.3m (13.3%) 6.5% (0.0%) $4.12 (-0.5%)
2022 $1.2b (3.2%) $115.3m (55.8%) $48.9m (-60.4%) 9.7% (51.0%) $6.57 (59.5%)
2023 $1.3b (8.0%) $91.8m (-20.4%) $79.0m (61.6%) 7.2% (-26.4%) $5.45 (-17.0%)
2024 $1.5b (20.4%) $128.2m (39.6%) $-109.6m (-238.7%) 8.3% (16.0%) $7.55 (38.5%)
2025 $1.7b (11.3%) $149.6m (16.8%) $73.8m (167.3%) 8.7% (4.9%) $8.93 (18.3%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model