Discounted Cash Flow

Oshkosh Corp.

OSK · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $6.3b $216.4m $485.2m 3.4% $2.94
2017 $6.8b (8.8%) $285.6m (32.0%) $160.7m (-66.9%) 4.2% (21.3%) $3.82 (29.9%)
2018 $7.7b (12.8%) $471.9m (65.2%) $341.0m (112.2%) 6.1% (46.4%) $6.38 (67.0%)
2019 $8.4b (8.8%) $579.4m (22.8%) $420.7m (23.4%) 6.9% (12.9%)
2020 $6.9b (-18.2%) $324.5m (-44.0%) $215.0m (-48.9%) 4.7% (-31.5%)
2021 $7.7b (12.8%) $472.7m (45.7%) $1.1b (419.6%) 6.1% (29.1%)
2022 $8.3b (7.0%) $173.9m (-63.2%) $331.8m (-70.3%) 2.1% (-65.6%)
2023 $9.7b (16.6%) $598.0m (243.9%) $274.3m (-17.3%) 6.2% (194.9%)
2024 $10.7b (11.1%) $681.4m (13.9%) $269.1m (-1.9%) 6.4% (2.6%)
2025 $10.4b (-2.9%) $647.0m (-5.0%) $618.0m (129.7%) 6.2% (-2.2%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model