Discounted Cash Flow

Open Text Corp.

OTEX · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $1.8b $284.5m $525.7m 15.6% $2.34
2017 $2.3b (25.6%) $1.0b (260.5%) $439.3m (-16.4%) 44.8% (187.1%) $4.04 (72.6%)
2018 $2.8b (22.9%) $242.2m (-76.4%) $709.9m (61.6%) 8.6% (-80.8%) $0.91 (-77.5%)
2019 $2.9b (1.9%) $285.5m (17.9%) $876.3m (23.4%) 10.0% (15.7%) $1.06 (16.5%)
2020 $3.1b (8.4%) $234.2m (-18.0%) $954.5m (8.9%) 7.5% (-24.3%) $0.86 (-18.9%)
2021 $3.4b (8.9%) $310.7m (32.6%) $876.1m (-8.2%) 9.2% (21.8%) $1.14 (32.6%)
2022 $3.5b (3.2%) $397.1m (27.8%) $888.7m (1.4%) 11.4% (23.9%) $1.46 (28.1%)
2023 $4.5b (28.4%) $150.4m (-62.1%) $655.4m (-26.3%) 3.4% (-70.5%) $0.56 (-61.6%)
2024 $5.8b (28.6%) $465.1m (209.3%) $808.4m (23.3%) 8.1% (140.4%) $1.71 (205.4%)
2025 $5.2b (-10.4%) $435.9m (-6.3%) $687.4m (-15.0%) 8.4% (4.6%) $1.66 (-2.9%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model