Discounted Cash Flow
Otter Tail Corp.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $803.5m | $62.3m | $2.1m | 7.8% | $1.62 |
| 2017 | $849.4m (5.7%) | $72.4m (16.2%) | $40.7m (1811.8%) | 8.5% (10.0%) | $1.84 (13.6%) |
| 2018 | $916.4m (7.9%) | $82.3m (13.7%) | $38.0m (-6.5%) | 9.0% (5.4%) | $2.08 (13.0%) |
| 2019 | $919.5m (0.3%) | $86.8m (5.5%) | $-22.3m (-158.7%) | 9.4% (5.1%) | $2.19 (5.3%) |
| 2020 | $890.1m (-3.2%) | $95.9m (10.4%) | $-159.6m (-614.9%) | 10.8% (14.0%) | $2.35 (7.3%) |
| 2021 | $1.2b (34.5%) | $176.8m (84.4%) | $59.4m (137.2%) | 14.8% (37.1%) | $4.26 (81.3%) |
| 2022 | $1.5b (22.7%) | $284.2m (60.8%) | $218.2m (267.2%) | 19.3% (31.0%) | $6.83 (60.3%) |
| 2023 | $1.4b (-7.9%) | $294.2m (3.5%) | $117.4m (-46.2%) | 21.7% (12.4%) | $7.06 (3.4%) |
| 2024 | $1.3b (-1.7%) | $301.7m (2.5%) | $94.1m (-19.8%) | 22.7% (4.3%) | $7.22 (2.3%) |
| 2025 | $1.3b (-2.0%) | $275.9m (-8.5%) | $97.9m (4.1%) | 21.2% (-6.7%) | $6.59 (-8.7%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.