Discounted Cash Flow

Oxford Industries Inc.

OXM · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $969.3m $30.6m $32.3m 3.2% $1.86
2017 $1.0b (5.5%) $52.5m (71.7%) $69.2m (114.1%) 5.1% (62.7%) $3.18 (71.0%)
2018 $1.1b (6.2%) $65.1m (24.1%) $79.8m (15.5%) 6.0% (16.8%) $3.92 (23.3%)
2019 $1.1b (2.0%) $66.3m (1.8%) $59.3m (-25.7%) 6.0% (-0.1%) $3.97 (1.3%)
2020 $1.1b (1.4%) $68.5m (3.3%) $84.5m (42.4%) 6.1% (1.9%) $4.09 (3.0%)
2021 $748.8m (-33.3%) $-95.7m (-239.7%) $54.9m (-35.0%) -12.8% (-309.5%) $-5.77 (-241.1%)
2022 $1.1b (52.5%) $131.3m (237.2%) $166.1m (202.4%) 11.5% (190.0%) $7.90 (236.9%)
2023 $1.4b (23.6%) $165.7m (26.2%) $78.9m (-52.5%) 11.7% (2.1%) $10.42 (31.9%)
2024 $1.6b (11.3%) $60.7m (-63.4%) $170.2m (115.6%) 3.9% (-67.1%) $3.89 (-62.7%)
2025 $1.5b (-3.5%) $93.0m (53.2%) $59.8m (-64.9%) 6.1% (58.7%) $5.94 (52.7%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model