Discounted Cash Flow

Occidental Petroleum Corp. /De/

OXY · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $10.1b $-574.0m $666.0m -5.7% $-0.75
2017 $12.5b (24.0%) $1.3b (328.4%) $1.4b (109.8%) 10.5% (284.2%) $1.71 (328.0%)
2018 $17.8b (42.5%) $4.1b (215.1%) $2.7b (92.8%) 23.2% (121.1%) $5.40 (215.8%)
2019 $18.7b (4.8%) $-985.0m (-123.8%) $1.0b (-62.1%) -5.3% (-122.8%) $-1.22 (-122.6%)
2020 $17.1b (-8.3%) $-14.8b (-1405.7%) $1.4b (39.2%) -86.6% (-1541.4%) $-17.06 (-1298.4%)
2021 $26.0b (51.5%) $1.5b (110.3%) $7.6b (432.7%) 5.9% (106.8%) $1.62 (109.5%)
2022 $36.6b (41.1%) $13.3b (774.1%) $12.3b (62.8%) 36.3% (519.4%) $13.41 (727.8%)
2023 $28.3b (-22.7%) $4.7b (-64.7%) $6.0b (-51.0%) 16.6% (-54.3%) $4.22 (-68.5%)
2024 $27.4b (-3.2%) $2.4b (-49.4%) $4.4b (-26.8%) 8.7% (-47.7%) $2.59 (-38.6%)
2025 $21.6b (-21.2%) $1.6b (-30.7%) $4.1b (-7.1%) 7.6% (-12.0%) $1.65 (-36.3%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model