Discounted Cash Flow
PAN American Silver Corp. Foreign
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $774.8m | $176.3m | $15.9m | 22.8% | $0.66 |
| 2017 | $816.8m (5.4%) | $182.5m (3.5%) | $224.6m (1316.6%) | 22.3% (-1.8%) | $0.79 (19.7%) |
| 2018 | $784.5m (-4.0%) | $33.2m (-81.8%) | $155.0m (-31.0%) | 4.2% (-81.1%) | $0.07 (-91.1%) |
| 2019 | $1.4b (72.2%) | $182.5m (449.9%) | $282.0m (82.0%) | 13.5% (219.4%) | $0.55 (685.7%) |
| 2020 | $1.3b (-0.9%) | $252.0m (38.1%) | $462.3m (63.9%) | 18.8% (39.3%) | $0.85 (54.5%) |
| 2021 | $1.6b (22.0%) | $245.0m (-2.8%) | $392.1m (-15.2%) | 15.0% (-20.3%) | $0.46 (-45.9%) |
| 2022 | $1.5b (-8.5%) | $-300.9m (-222.8%) | $-242.9m (-161.9%) | -20.1% (-234.2%) | $-1.62 (-452.2%) |
| 2023 | $2.3b (55.0%) | $-58.8m (80.5%) | $71.2m (129.3%) | -2.5% (87.4%) | $-0.32 (80.2%) |
| 2024 | $2.8b (21.7%) | $431.7m (834.2%) | $699.7m (882.7%) | 15.3% (703.2%) | $0.31 (196.9%) |
| 2025 | $3.6b (28.4%) | $1.2b (186.8%) | $1.3b (83.9%) | 34.2% (123.4%) | $2.56 (725.8%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.