Discounted Cash Flow
Penske Automotive Group, Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $20.1b | $342.9m | $1.6m | 1.7% | $3.99 |
| 2017 | $21.4b (6.3%) | $613.3m (78.9%) | $500.0k (-68.8%) | 2.9% (68.2%) | $7.14 (78.9%) |
| 2018 | $22.8b (6.5%) | $471.0m (-23.2%) | $500.0k (0.0%) | 2.1% (-27.9%) | $5.53 (-22.5%) |
| 2019 | $23.2b (1.7%) | $435.8m (-7.5%) | $300.0k (-40.0%) | 1.9% (-9.0%) | $5.28 (-4.5%) |
| 2020 | $20.4b (-11.8%) | $543.6m (24.7%) | $300.0k (0.0%) | 2.7% (41.4%) | $6.74 (27.7%) |
| 2021 | $25.6b (25.0%) | $1.2b (118.5%) | $1.3m (333.3%) | 4.6% (74.8%) | $14.89 (120.9%) |
| 2022 | $27.8b (8.8%) | $1.4b (16.2%) | $1.2b (90400.0%) | 5.0% (6.7%) | $18.55 (24.6%) |
| 2023 | $29.5b (6.2%) | $1.1b (-23.7%) | $759.2m (-35.5%) | 3.6% (-28.1%) | $15.50 (-16.4%) |
| 2024 | $30.5b (3.1%) | $918.9m (-12.8%) | $852.8m (12.3%) | 3.0% (-15.4%) | $13.74 (-11.4%) |
| 2025 | $31.8b (4.4%) | $935.4m (1.8%) | $650.5m (-23.7%) | 2.9% (-2.5%) | $14.13 (2.8%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.