Discounted Cash Flow
Patrick Industries Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $1.2b | $55.6m | $81.7m | 4.5% | $3.70 |
| 2017 | $1.6b (33.9%) | $85.7m (54.2%) | $77.4m (-5.3%) | 5.2% (15.2%) | $3.54 (-4.3%) |
| 2018 | $2.3b (38.4%) | $119.8m (39.8%) | $165.5m (113.8%) | 5.3% (1.0%) | $4.99 (41.0%) |
| 2019 | $2.3b (3.3%) | $89.6m (-25.3%) | $164.7m (-0.5%) | 3.8% (-27.6%) | $3.88 (-22.2%) |
| 2020 | $2.5b (6.4%) | $97.1m (8.4%) | $128.1m (-22.3%) | 3.9% (1.9%) | $4.27 (10.1%) |
| 2021 | $4.1b (64.0%) | $224.9m (131.7%) | $187.3m (46.3%) | 5.5% (41.3%) | $9.87 (131.1%) |
| 2022 | $4.9b (19.7%) | $328.2m (45.9%) | $331.9m (77.2%) | 6.7% (21.9%) | $14.82 (50.2%) |
| 2023 | $3.5b (-29.0%) | $142.9m (-56.5%) | $349.7m (5.4%) | 4.1% (-38.7%) | $6.64 (-55.2%) |
| 2024 | $3.7b (7.1%) | $138.4m (-3.1%) | $251.2m (-28.2%) | 3.7% (-9.6%) | $4.25 (-36.0%) |
| 2025 | $4.0b (6.3%) | $135.1m (-2.4%) | $246.5m (-1.9%) | 3.4% (-8.2%) | $4.16 (-2.1%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.