Discounted Cash Flow

Prosperity Bancshares Inc.

PB · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $675.8m $274.5m $329.3m 40.6% $3.94
2017 $677.4m (0.2%) $272.2m (-0.8%) $379.5m (15.2%) 40.2% (-1.1%) $3.92 (-0.5%)
2018 $727.2m (7.4%) $321.8m (18.2%) $305.0m (-19.6%) 44.3% (10.1%) $4.61 (17.6%)
2019 $832.9m (14.5%) $332.6m (3.3%) $384.4m (26.0%) 39.9% (-9.8%) $4.52 (-2.0%)
2020 $1.1b (37.3%) $528.9m (59.0%) $560.2m (45.7%) 46.2% (15.8%) $5.68 (25.7%)
2021 $1.0b (-8.5%) $519.3m (-1.8%) $675.7m (20.6%) 49.6% (7.3%) $5.60 (-1.4%)
2022 $1.1b (4.6%) $524.5m (1.0%) $464.1m (-31.3%) 47.9% (-3.4%) $5.73 (2.3%)
2023 $1.4b (31.9%) $419.3m (-20.1%) $612.2m (31.9%) 29.0% (-39.4%) $4.51 (-21.3%)
2024 $1.6b (12.4%) $479.4m (14.3%) $451.6m (-26.2%) 29.5% (1.7%) $5.05 (12.0%)
2025 $1.6b (-3.3%) $542.8m (13.2%) $517.0m (14.5%) 34.6% (17.1%) $5.72 (13.3%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model