Discounted Cash Flow
PBF Energy Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $15.9b | $170.8m | $353.2m | 1.1% | $1.74 |
| 2017 | $21.8b (36.8%) | $415.5m (143.3%) | $379.2m (7.4%) | 1.9% (77.8%) | $3.78 (117.2%) |
| 2018 | $27.2b (24.8%) | $128.3m (-69.1%) | $520.5m (37.3%) | 0.5% (-75.3%) | $1.11 (-70.6%) |
| 2019 | $24.5b (-9.9%) | $319.4m (148.9%) | $528.6m (1.6%) | 1.3% (176.1%) | $2.66 (139.6%) |
| 2020 | $15.1b (-38.3%) | $-1.4b (-535.9%) | $-827.8m (-256.6%) | -9.2% (-806.8%) | $-11.64 (-537.6%) |
| 2021 | $27.3b (80.3%) | $231.0m (116.6%) | $228.2m (127.6%) | 0.8% (109.2%) | $1.92 (116.5%) |
| 2022 | $46.8b (71.8%) | $2.9b (1145.4%) | $4.1b (1713.6%) | 6.1% (624.8%) | $23.47 (1122.4%) |
| 2023 | $38.3b (-18.2%) | $2.1b (-25.6%) | $678.9m (-83.6%) | 5.6% (-9.1%) | $17.13 (-27.0%) |
| 2024 | $33.1b (-13.6%) | $-533.8m (-124.9%) | $-347.5m (-151.2%) | -1.6% (-128.9%) | $-4.59 (-126.8%) |
| 2025 | $29.3b (-11.4%) | $-158.5m (70.3%) | $-783.2m (-125.4%) | -0.5% (66.5%) | $-1.39 (69.7%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.