Discounted Cash Flow
Paccar Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $17.0b | $521.7m | $2.0b | 3.1% | $1.49 |
| 2017 | $19.5b (14.2%) | $1.7b (221.1%) | $2.4b (19.8%) | 8.6% (181.1%) | $4.76 (219.5%) |
| 2018 | $23.5b (20.8%) | $2.2b (31.0%) | $2.7b (10.9%) | 9.3% (8.5%) | $6.25 (31.3%) |
| 2019 | $25.6b (9.0%) | $2.4b (8.8%) | $2.5b (-4.4%) | 9.3% (-0.2%) | $6.88 (10.1%) |
| 2020 | $18.7b (-26.8%) | $1.3b (-45.6%) | $2.7b (7.9%) | 6.9% (-25.7%) | $3.74 (-45.6%) |
| 2021 | $23.5b (25.6%) | $1.9b (42.6%) | $1.9b (-30.0%) | 7.9% (13.6%) | $5.33 (42.5%) |
| 2022 | $28.8b (22.5%) | $3.0b (62.6%) | $2.7b (40.6%) | 10.4% (32.7%) | $5.76 (8.1%) |
| 2023 | $35.1b (21.9%) | $4.6b (52.8%) | $3.8b (40.1%) | 13.1% (25.3%) | $8.78 (52.4%) |
| 2024 | $33.7b (-4.2%) | $4.2b (-9.5%) | $4.2b (12.4%) | 12.4% (-5.6%) | $7.92 (-9.8%) |
| 2025 | $28.4b (-15.5%) | $2.4b (-42.9%) | $4.0b (-5.3%) | 8.4% (-32.4%) | $4.52 (-42.9%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.