Discounted Cash Flow

Pg&e Corp.

PCG · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $17.7b $1.4b $4.0b 8.0% $2.79
2017 $17.1b (-3.0%) $1.7b (18.0%) $5.5b (36.7%) 9.7% (21.6%) $3.21 (15.1%)
2018 $16.8b (-2.2%) $-6.8b (-511.9%) $4.4b (-19.9%) -40.8% (-521.1%) $-13.25 (-512.8%)
2019 $17.1b (2.2%) $-7.6b (-11.8%) $4.0b (-9.0%) -44.6% (-9.4%) $-14.50 (-9.4%)
2020 $18.5b (7.8%) $-1.3b (82.9%) $-1.3b (-132.7%) -7.1% (84.2%) $-1.05 (92.8%)
2021 $20.6b (11.8%) $-88.0m (93.3%) $951.0m (172.9%) -0.4% (94.0%) $-0.05 (95.2%)
2022 $21.7b (5.0%) $1.8b (2161.4%) $2.5b (167.8%) 8.4% (2062.7%) $0.91 (1920.0%)
2023 $24.4b (12.7%) $2.3b (24.4%) $3.6b (43.0%) 9.2% (10.4%) $1.09 (19.8%)
2024 $24.4b (-0.0%) $2.5b (11.3%) $6.9b (89.2%) 10.3% (11.4%) $1.16 (6.4%)
2025 $24.9b (2.1%) $2.7b (7.6%) $6.9b (-0.5%) 10.8% (5.4%) $1.18 (1.7%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model