Discounted Cash Flow

Ponce Financial Group, Inc.

PDLB · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2019 $38.1m $-5.1m $1.2m -13.4%
2020 $42.0m (10.1%) $3.9m (175.2%) $-29.4m (-2490.4%) 9.2% (168.3%)
2021 $58.8m (40.2%) $25.4m (559.6%) $14.4m (148.9%) 43.2% (370.4%)
2022 $66.6m (13.2%) $-30.0m (-218.0%) $9.3m (-35.3%) -45.0% (-204.3%)
2023 $65.3m (-2.0%) $3.4m (111.2%) $6.1m (-34.7%) 5.1% (111.4%)
2024 $76.5m (17.2%) $11.0m (227.3%) $4.5m (-26.1%) 14.3% (179.3%)
2025 $99.8m (30.5%) $28.7m (161.6%) $54.6m (1115.3%) 28.8% (100.5%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model