Discounted Cash Flow
Pebblebrook Hotel Trust REIT
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $816.4m | $73.7m | $241.2m | 9.0% | $0.65 |
| 2017 | $769.3m (-5.8%) | $99.9m (35.5%) | $195.0m (-19.1%) | 13.0% (43.8%) | $1.20 (84.6%) |
| 2018 | $828.7m (7.7%) | $13.4m (-86.6%) | $13.4m (-93.1%) | 1.6% (-87.6%) | $-0.06 (-105.0%) |
| 2019 | $1.6b (94.6%) | $115.4m (762.0%) | $394.4m (2845.2%) | 7.2% (343.0%) | $0.63 (1150.0%) |
| 2020 | $442.9m (-72.5%) | $-391.7m (-439.3%) | $-201.8m (-151.2%) | -88.4% (-1335.2%) | $-3.25 (-615.9%) |
| 2021 | $733.0m (65.5%) | $-184.9m (52.8%) | $70.8m (135.1%) | -25.2% (71.5%) | $-1.80 (44.6%) |
| 2022 | $1.4b (89.9%) | $-87.2m (52.8%) | $278.7m (293.9%) | -6.3% (75.2%) | $-0.95 (47.2%) |
| 2023 | $1.4b (2.0%) | $-78.0m (10.5%) | $236.2m (-15.3%) | -5.5% (12.3%) | $-0.93 (2.1%) |
| 2024 | $1.5b (2.3%) | $-4.2m (94.6%) | $275.0m (16.4%) | -0.3% (94.7%) | $-0.39 (58.1%) |
| 2025 | $1.5b (1.5%) | $3.6m (184.4%) | $249.7m (-9.2%) | 0.2% (183.1%) | $-0.90 (-130.8%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.