Discounted Cash Flow
Pegasystems Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $750.3m | $27.0m | $20.8m | 3.6% | $0.35 |
| 2017 | $840.6m (12.0%) | $32.9m (22.0%) | $144.5m (595.2%) | 3.9% (8.9%) | $0.43 (22.9%) |
| 2018 | $891.6m (6.1%) | $10.6m (-67.8%) | $92.5m (-36.0%) | 1.2% (-69.6%) | $0.14 (-67.4%) |
| 2019 | $911.4m (2.2%) | $-90.4m (-951.8%) | $-52.8m (-157.1%) | -9.9% (-933.3%) | $-1.14 (-914.3%) |
| 2020 | $1.0b (11.6%) | $-61.4m (32.1%) | $-25.9m (50.9%) | -6.0% (39.2%) | $-0.76 (33.3%) |
| 2021 | $1.2b (19.1%) | $-63.0m (-2.7%) | $28.7m (210.5%) | -5.2% (13.7%) | $-0.77 (-1.3%) |
| 2022 | $1.3b (8.8%) | $-345.6m (-448.2%) | $-13.0m (-145.5%) | -26.2% (-404.0%) | $-4.22 (-448.1%) |
| 2023 | $1.4b (8.7%) | $67.8m (119.6%) | $201.0m (1641.1%) | 4.7% (118.0%) | $0.82 (119.4%) |
| 2024 | $1.5b (4.5%) | $99.2m (46.3%) | $338.2m (68.3%) | 6.6% (40.0%) | $1.16 (41.5%) |
| 2025 | $1.7b (16.6%) | $393.4m (296.7%) | $490.7m (45.1%) | 22.5% (240.2%) | $2.30 (98.3%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.