Discounted Cash Flow
Penumbra Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $263.3m | $14.8m | $-26.4m | 5.6% | $0.49 |
| 2017 | $333.8m (26.8%) | $4.7m (-68.6%) | $159.0k (100.6%) | 1.4% (-75.2%) | $0.14 (-71.4%) |
| 2018 | $444.9m (33.3%) | $6.6m (41.7%) | $19.2m (11978.6%) | 1.5% (6.3%) | $0.19 (35.7%) |
| 2019 | $547.4m (23.0%) | $48.5m (634.1%) | $4.5m (-76.3%) | 8.9% (496.7%) | $1.39 (631.6%) |
| 2020 | $560.4m (2.4%) | $-15.7m (-132.4%) | $-58.0m (-1376.6%) | -2.8% (-131.7%) | $-0.44 (-131.7%) |
| 2021 | $747.6m (33.4%) | $5.3m (133.7%) | $-11.7m (79.9%) | 0.7% (125.2%) | $0.14 (131.8%) |
| 2022 | $847.1m (13.3%) | $-2.0m (-137.9%) | $-75.0m (-541.9%) | -0.2% (-133.4%) | $-0.05 (-135.7%) |
| 2023 | $1.1b (25.0%) | $91.0m (4643.2%) | $82.1m (209.6%) | 8.6% (3735.9%) | $2.37 (4840.0%) |
| 2024 | $1.2b (12.9%) | $14.0m (-84.6%) | $14.0m (-82.9%) | 1.2% (-86.3%) | $0.36 (-84.8%) |
| 2025 | $1.4b (17.5%) | $177.7m (1168.1%) | $174.9m (1148.5%) | 12.7% (979.2%) | $4.57 (1169.4%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.